Spring has officially arrived. Let's see what my favorite time of the year has in store for us, shall we? The mortgage market does not want to maintain its downward momentum. Of course, it is important to remember that most things in the economic world do not happen in a straight line. So the ebbs and flows are natural. With that said, we are back in the 6.75% realm of 30yr mortgage rates and we had a -6.2% purchase application print last week. April 2nd is coming up quickly, otherwise known to President Trump as "Liberation Day". This is the day the tariff plans with our worldwide trade partners are due to go into effect. It increasingly sounds like there is a lot of flexibility with these plans, but still, it seems the uncertainty of everything is weighing on yields and rates. With that said, it simply looks to me as if the 10yr yield is consolidating within a smaller range with less wild swings in either direction. Mortgage rates are the main lever for buyer affordability in this market as prices refuse to make any significant move lower. The image below that I'll leave you with to end March is exactly why prices refuse to budge here in California.
|